US presidential election: What is the ‘Electoral College’?
The United States is one of the oldest democracies in the
world and it still follows the same election system set by its founders nearly
250 years ago. The US presidential election, the process that selects arguably
the most powerful person in the world, is a mega-event for the entire planet.
But what is the system that makes this election work? What is this
"Electoral College" through which Americans will elect who holds the
Oval Office for the next four years?
The most important details for outsiders to understand is that the United
States of America is a federal state, made up of 50 states. Around the late
18th century, when the US Constitution was being drafted by the country's
founding fathers, there was intense debate over how to elect the president
going forward. Some wanted for a direct election system where the president was
chosen by the people, while others proposed that Congress members should elect
the president.
Small
states, those with low populations where slavery was a major factor, opposed a
direct election, fearing their diminishing influence in getting a say over who
would be president. On the other hand, electing a president through Congress
could potentially go against the principle of separation of powers between the
legislative and executive branches of government. To find a compromise between
these contradicting views, the "Electoral College" system was the
option founding fathers went for.
In the Electoral College system,
each state holds its own election to determine which candidate the people of
that state prefer as president. Each state has a specific number of electors,
and in all states other than Nebraska and Maine, the candidate who wins the
majority vote receives all of that state's electoral votes. For instance,
Pennsylvania has 19 Electoral College votes. Among Pennsylvania's 9 million
voters, the candidate who gets the majority will get all 19 votes, regardless
of the margin.
You may wonder who decides how many Electoral College votes Pennsylvania will
have. According to the US Constitution, each state is allocated electoral votes
equal to the sum of its members in Congress and the Senate. Pennsylvania has 17
Congressional representatives, and every state has two Senate members. This
gives Pennsylvania 17 + 2 = 19 Electoral College votes. The 19 electors
selected to cast these votes are now allowed to be members of Congress or the
Senate. States have the freedom to determine their own method of selecting electors,
but the electors are required to vote for the candidate who won their state,
their own political allegiances are not a factor here.
Nationwide, there are 435 members
in the US House of Representatives and 100 in the Senate, giving us a total of
535. But we know that the total number of Electoral College votes is actually
538. Then where do these three extra votes come from?
The District of Columbia is a
federal area that includes the US capital, Washington, D.C., but it is not a
state. As a result, it has no representatives in Congress or the Senate. In
1961, a constitutional amendment granted the District of Columbia three
Electoral College votes so they too could have a say in who is president.
This makes the number 538 crucial in US presidential elections. A candidate
needs 270 votes out of 538 to win a majority, and over the past few months,
Kamala Harris and Donald Trump have been locked in a tussle to see who can
reach this number.
The compromise of the Electoral
College benefits smaller states. It allows them to cast more votes relative to
their population. This system was intended to give smaller states a voice, but
over time, it has revealed weaknesses in the US electoral system. In states
with high populations, a citizen's vote in the presidential election holds less
weight than in states with lower populations. In 2020, each Electoral College
vote in Wyoming, the smallest state in terms of population, represented fewer
than 200,000 people. In California, a populous state, each vote represented
over 700,000 people. Thus, it can be said that individual votes in larger
states have less influence than those in smaller states.
On top of that, there have been
instances where candidates were able to win the Electoral College even though
they did not receive the majority of votes nationwide. This has happened five
times in US history, the most recent cases being Republican presidents George
W. Bush in 2000 and Donald Trump in 2016.
Another problem with this system
is that states where the outcomes are predictable, where elections are likely
to be one-sided, don't get enough attention from candidates or the media. In
states like New York and Massachusetts, which have been consistently
Democratic, or Texas and Alabama, which are strongholds for Republicans, both
parties have invested little time and effort. Meanwhile, states with close
elections, where both parties feel like they have a chance to win, election
campaigning, analysis, debates, and discussions get a lot of focus. The US
media calls them "swing states". This year, the seven swing states
are considered to be Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Arizona, Georgia, Michigan,
Nevada, and North Carolina.
The US, with its vast 50-state
structure, has structured its election system over nearly 250 years, yet major
questions remain. This year's election is expected to be one of the closest in
recent memory. It will be interesting to see which candidate can leverage the
Electoral College system to eke out any advantages that help them secure a win.